House Republicans literally had to change the healthcare FAQ on their website after they passed this bill, since they had promised their bill would "prohibit health insurers from denying coverage or charging more money to patients based on pre-existing conditions", before they changed their mind and passed a bill that would do exactly that.
The nonpartisan budget office, lawmakers' official fiscal analyst, released two reports on earlier versions of the House bill in March.
The increase in the number of uninsured people relative to the number projected under current law would reach 19 million in 2020 and 23 million in 2026. Here to break all that down is Caroline Pearson. She has provided more detail in an earlier ANN ad, but essentially she was kicked off her plan with Covered California, the state health-care exchange, for no reason. Welcome to the program.
DAVIS: Thank you, Audie. That's slightly less than the $150 billion the office estimated in March. And that really hurt that bill's chances.
The new estimates could give talking points to House Republicans, or to Democrats, who voted unanimously against that bill.
PEARSON: Well, not significant changes.
CORNISH: By what year?
We can understand why this is a frustrating experience, but it seems odd to blame the problems with the state exchange on the federal law.
PEARSON: Yeah, by 2026. But if they have a gap in coverage, they still could face higher, unaffordable premiums for a year.
"I am working with Senate colleagues to do so", Cassidy said.
Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price disagreed with the CBO's findings. As we have noted before, that does not mean costs will decrease, only that they will increase more slowly than under the ACA. (The CBO did not specify which states might do so). In others, folks may not even be able to buy insurance because the market won't be viable. "In reality, Americans are paying more for fewer healthcare choices because of Obamacare", Price said.
"I don't know how we get to 50 (votes) at the moment".
That's because under the AHCA, states could get waivers exempting them from some Obamacare provisions, including what are called "essential health benefits" - a list of basics like mental health and prescription drugs that the Affordable Care Act required plans to cover. In those states, CBO and JCT expect that, overall, average premiums in the nongroup market would be roughly 20 percent lower in 2026 than under current law, primarily because, on average, insurance policies would provide fewer benefits.
The remaining half of the country would live in areas that would retain Obamacare's protections.
President Donald Trump and House Republicans gathered in the Rose Garden on May 4 to crow about their achievement, willfully ignorant of the pain they were prepared to inflict on poor and frail Americans. "That's plainly what CBO says".
The CBO said markets for people to buy individual insurance plans could then become "unstable" in states that choose to waive the Obamacare requirements for coverage of pre-existing medical conditions and essential health benefits. In those states, the reductions for younger people would be substantially larger and for older people, the reductions would be substantially smaller. A new Monmouth University poll released Wednesday found just 32 percent approve of the latest version of the AHCA, while 55 percent disapprove. Is that what's in this report?
"In addition to a war on seniors, it's a war on women's health care", Blumenthal said.
"They're going to have to do something on Medicaid", he said, "and that something is a real question". We expected the coverage numbers and the budget numbers to stay relatively consistent, so this is not a big surprise.
With all CBO reports, Wednesday's analysis notes that there are a number of factors that contribute to the uncertainty of its forecasts but that it "endeavored to develop estimates that are in the middle of the distribution of potential outcomes". The new CBO report, however, makes it even more unlikely Senate Republicans will include such provisions in the version of the Obamacare they are now trying to hash out.
PEARSON: The CBO report has a considerable impact on the politics of getting senators to sign on as well as the sheer rules about what they are allowed to pass under the budget rules that - within which they're operating.